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We suspect, as we head backwards again, the answer will be
as before. We can almost guess what we might find. Is there anything resembling
an explosive, fast advance period, of consistent novelties, albeit of relative
beginnings in a time frame comparable, ca. 2400 years, to our previous case, yet
earlier still? There may or may not be a parallel effect of two or more such
hotspots in the same time band. We know what to look for, and head for the
library, although our data is beginning to thin rapidly. Do the figuring, –600,
back 2400 hundred years, –3000 and head for the library.
Somewhere near here someone should be reporting rapid
change, or having a discontinuity problem. Let’s zoom in on an innocent
Egyptologist. Describing the swift transition from the era of earliest Egypt, Michael Hoffman, in
Predynastic Egypt, is driven in some puzzlement to
adopt the economic take-off idea of the economist W. W. Rostow as a metaphor to
account for the sudden change that produces the unification of Upper and Lower Egypt under the Pharaoh Menes:
The immediate archaeological problem in explaining the
cultural identity of Menes and his state is to account for the sudden
embarrassment of riches that characterizes the material culture of Egypt between
the Late Gerzean (ca. 3300 B.C.) and Archaic period (ca. 3100-2700 B.C.) in
terms of a sophisticated, multifaceted explanation. Professor Renfrew borrows
the term ‘take-off point’ from the economist Walter Rostow to characterize the
rise of civilization and the proliferation of certain types of artifacts. Over
the years a number of propensities develop within a social system, which
predisposes it to a really major transformation. When that transformation does
occur, it is so thorough as to convey the impression of crossing a critical
threshold.[i]
Bull’s eye. Remarkable, to say the least, although our data
here is not comprehensive However, the degree of match is too close to be
chance. The overall structure of parallel interactive emergence and transitional
chronology is in principle identical to what we see in the Axial period.
What about Mesopotamia? In
Prehistoric Europe
, Philip Van Doren Stern
wrestles explicitly with the
evolution/revolution paradox and observes the
sudden jump to the first level of civilization in the first hydraulic world of
Mesopotamia as it emerged from its mysterious roots of it in the era
of the so-called Ubaid and before:
Something happened in Sumer during the fifth millennium
B.C., when all the rest of the world was still so primitive that the Sumerians
had to make their own way. The initial stages proceeded slowly for a thousand
years or more, and then, during the five centuries between 3300 and 2800 B.C.,
culture accelerated so rapidly that in this brief time villages became cities
and cities grew into city-states...Roux[Georges Roux, Ancient Iraq, London. 1964,] merely says of this extraordinarily
rapid cultural development in Sumer that ‘a close examination reveals no drastic
changes in social organization, no real break in architectural or in religious
traditions. We are confronted here, not with sudden revolution, but with the
final term of an evolution which had started in Mesopotamia
itself several centuries before.’ Perhaps. But perhaps he is applying our modern
time scale to an age when centuries were equivalent to our decades. For a
village to become a city in a few hundred years when there had never been a city
anywhere before, is, to put it mildly, something more than ordinary evolution.
[ii]
Bull’s eye again. The statement also shows clearly that we
are dealing with the puzzle, right on schedule, of relative beginnings. Not the ‘rise of
civilization’, as such. The author clearly notes the puzzle of the stream prior
to the take-off in the eonic sequence. We will soon see that the observation
should be amended to say that (perhaps) ‘something happened in the
sixth millennium in the North of
Mesopotamia, when, by a replication of one and the same process, the foundations
of a prior parent to Sumer were laid.’ It is not too hard
to zero in on that earlier case, but before the invention of writing
we will draw no conclusions, armed with a
method of relative beginnings that can preempt any need to speculate about still
earlier ‘beginnings’.
Note that once again we see
parallel interactive emergence,
in one and the same fashion as in the Axial age, although here scholars are
often attempting to derive the Egyptian from the Sumerian. But even if there
were cross-diffusion of some sort the scale of synchronous emergence is too
great for any such explanation by derivation. Once again we see the stream and
sequence effect in the parallel advance on schedule of two separate, possibly
interacting, differential periods. This factor can seem less intuitive than the
Axial Age, but that is only because we don’t see what comes before. Parallelism
in the Axial era presupposes diffusion from earlier periods, as preparation.
Obviously something is missing in our data ca. –5500.
A caveat is required here. What about India and China in this period? We must hold
out for a closer study of the period comprising about two or more millennia
before the Egyptian and Sumerian breakthroughs. We suspect, however, that an
earlier period of Neolithic culture sourcing in the Fertile Crescent is the
focal source of the eonic sequence, whatever else is going on elsewhere, and has
long since diffused to, at least, India,
where it is possible that an earlier Indus
should join our parallel account. That, however, seems doubtful. Our account
suggests the obvious: diffusion into the Eurasian field, and out pops an Indus civilization, notwithstanding highly developed prior
elements of culture and religion. Note the difference. The answer is clear: our
eonic sequence is the main thing, if parallel areas are ready they may also be
triggered as synchronous companions. At the time of Egypt the field is barely ready, but Egypt takes off in tandem with Sumer.
The question is confused by the issue of Indian religion,
which probably goes back to Neolithic times, and is highly sophisticated, from
the onset of ‘civilization’—there’s the catch, civilization? This is not quite
defined. We mean ‘eonic sequence’. There can be a high degree of culture outside
the eonic sequence, but this tends to go nowhere. Our eonic sequence specializes
in large-scale integration, generation of infrastructure, the state, ecumenical
religions, and their ideologies, and the gestation of civil society, on the way
to globalization. Buddhas may go back to the Paleolithic, and are simply
bypassed until the eonic sequence goes into its Axial intersection in the next
phase. The world never hears of them until the eonic sequence produces its
Buddhist package designed to travel outwards. The same questions remain for
China. We see the sudden appearance of the
Shang in the same diffusion field as the Indus, in the appropriate centuries after our first
transition. We can leave the question open.
It is thus clear that archaeology has found the so-far
earliest phase of our eonic effect in the necessary, though minimum detail, and
the result is so remarkable that we are almost stunned by the simplicity of the
pattern. We must grant, to be sure, that our Sumerian and Egyptian transitions
still remain thin, and that the evidence at the level of decades, to a
half-century, is still lacking. But the overall pattern is directly confirmed.
And its elegance is muddied by the obvious messiness of the patterns of advance
and diffusion in specific geographical contexts, a factor that makes the core
dynamic difficult to observe. Note the way Egyptian civilization produces a sort
of infrastructure gigantism near its first third, and that this passes away, and
the level of culture is left looking backwards. Note how the city-states of
Sumer
rapidly pass into the realm of mideonic empire. The last of these is the
Assyrian, before the first of the new, the Persian (with its own frontier
effect), which aborts and ends by passing its elements into the Judaic stream.
The Greek and the Judaic attempt the impossible endrun around empire.
Thus, cities, state formation, and the civilizations with
writing suddenly come together in the last centuries before –3000. Many
archaeologists have remarked on the rapid emergence of higher civilization
, and in fact the phenomenon of threshold crossing is obvious from the contrast
of scales, before and after, especially in the case of Egypt. The use of the term ‘birth of
civilization’ is conventional here, but requires caution. The beauty of our
relative beginnings approach is that it emphasizes what we know by changing the
label, yet forces us to consider the continuity behind the discontinuity. We
must think the Neolithic should be included in this scheme, if we will once
again move backwards. And, we note, we find Toynbee struggling with the
inveterate causality problem that haunts our eonic effect. What caused the birth
of civilization?
Going backward further, our data starts to become
insufficient. The period of Egypt and Sumer, at their ‘beginnings’ near –3000,
seem a bit primitive to us now, but constitutes what is probably the greatest
transition in human history, the point at which the most basic fundamentals of
man’s ‘civil condition’ came into existence over a substrate of previously
achieved agricultural life. Substitute bullock carts, a great advance, for
freight trains, and ingots of gold for high finance, and we have a massive
‘modernization’ period in the wake of Sumer. And it did so with remarkable
speed, and yet in a fashion not contradicting slow evolution. And there is more
than a family resemblance to the phase of ‘modernism’ we claim
exclusively for the achievements of our own time, if we look at the same five
hundred years of the Sumerian emergence, three hundred of rapid advance, and two
of stabilizing crystallization after –3000, from its ‘Medieval’ sources in the
religiously preoccupied world that came before of the Ubaid, and the Uruk.
We are suspicious of the Neolithic, we are missing
something. We can keep on going backwards…
[i]
Michael Hoffman, Predynastic
Egypt, “In Search of Menes”. The
sensationalist Fingerprints of the
Gods, full of strange Egyptological theories wishes to uncover
the ‘scandal’, in the vein of such books to find gaps for God, UFO’s or
the Atlanteans, of the rapid Egyptian emergence, and the sudden
appearance of the theocratic religion, “Is it not to defy logic to
suppose that well-rounded social and metaphysical ideas like those of
the Osiris cult sprung up fully formed in 3100 B.C. or that they could
have taken such perfect shape in the 300 years which Egyptologists
sometimes allow for them to have developed?” Graham Hancock,
Fingerprints of the Gods
(1995), p. 394.
[ii]
Philip Van Doren Stern,
Prehistoric Europe (New York: Norton, 1969)
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