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What is our starting point? The Big Bang? Hominids parting
ways from chimpanzees? The Great Explosion? The Neolithic? Our
model is designed to allow us to start anywhere, without an absolute beginning.
We suspect our eonic series starts with the Neolithic, but we begin to see the
eonic effect only with the era of Egypt
and Sumer,
and our first transition, itself just on the threshold of analysis given our
severe standard: centuries level data.
Track of the eonic
observer As we begin an eonic outline, we need to produce the biography of
the eonic observer, his global coordinates relative to the eonic effect, here
‘modernity’, probably in a secular perspective, his ideology, and place relative
to the great eonic emergents inside of which he observes the past. He has an
important task: updating the data of prior eonic observers, viz. the redactors
of the Old Testament. An upgrade here is swiftly accomplished with the eonic
model.
Looking backward It
is important to remember that we are outside the last transition of our
sequence, looking backward. The action of our system shuts down and is replaced
by our spontaneous free action, looking forward. This system shutdown point is
clearly present in the early nineteenth century. Our model is fussy on this
‘quibble’ but protects us from teleological confusions. We suspect that
directionality, seen looking backwards, is evidence of a teleological system.
But this is a discrete-continuous system, We only get glimpses of the system
changing direction, often several in
tandem, not of teleology.
The postmodern turn
Instinctively, ‘postmodern’ theorists sense the end of the modern transition,
thinking it somehow ‘post’ in relation to the modern. But for us this
periodization is wrong. The ‘modern’ simply indicates anything after the early
modern, until the next appearance, if any, of the eonic sequence. The
‘postmodern’ critiques of the modern realization are another matter. There is
nothing enjoined in our fully dialectical discourse against challenges to
modernist dogmas. But experience will show the fragility of simplistic
substitutes. With what will you replace the discrete freedom sequence? Decline
into chaos would be your fate. Thus the postmodern turn is perhaps illusory as
postmodernism will end absorbed into modernist holism. Did not Kant invent
postmodern anti-foundationalism?
The idea of a Table of Contents is apt. As example consider
a well-known world history.
Cheshire Cat Cycles and
a Table of Contents.
Consider William MacNeill’s TOC in his
world history The Rise of the West:
Part I: The Era of Middle Eastern Dominance to 500 B.C.
Part II: Eurasian Cultural Balance, 500 B.C. to 1500 A.D.
Part III: The Era of Western Dominance, 1500 A.D. to the
present.
Note how the TOC automatically reflects the eonic effect.
Note that our present is just outside the last transition. The question of the
West, however, is problematical, until we see that the overall pattern is not
about the West, but the frontier effect in the Western Eurasian sector. Since
this ‘civilization’, the West, began in the agora of Miletus, Asia Minor, and hills of
Canaan, it seems pointless to so name it. We can rewrite this TOC:
1. Transition 1,… era of the Mesopotamian/Egyptian oikoumenes
2. Transition 2,… era of the Axial interval, and
oikoumenes
3. Transition 3, the present… ???? onset of first global
oikoumene.
4. A new mideonic era…end of eonic sequence?
We detect what we have called the ‘eonic evolution’ of
civilization. In fact our first
transition is probably nothing of the kind, and we can compute backwards in 2400
year steps to posit some possible earlier transitions, but for now all we have
is our core eonic effect. We could
recalibrate our sequence with a different beginning. In the Appendix we will use
this completely generalized terminology
of ‘eonic transitions’ exclusively,
expressing our frequency hypothesis:
‘ET1,…’ : ?????
‘ET2,…’ : ??-8100 to -7800
‘ET3,…’ : ?-5700 to -5400
‘ET4,….’ : -3300 to -3000
‘ET5,….’ : -900 to -600
‘ET6,….’ : 1500 to 1800
The purpose of this terminology is to produce global
coordinates, ‘ET5, Greece’,
being the Greek Axial transition. There is no a priori reason why a monotone
sequence should be the case here, and frequency patterns can do funny things,
but maybe we detect a ticking clock. We
need not decide to use our model, which allows us to act under a condition
of ignorance, armed with the perspective of
relative beginnings. The inadequate
terms ‘modernity’ or ‘Axial Age’ are replaced by numerical coordinates for
differential geo-time-slices on the surface of a planet, not a recipe, however,
for intuitive history, so we leave it to the appendix. This formulation, so far
from being dogmatic, is falsifiable, and a reminder of how little we know, and
will prevent, rather than encourage speculation, forcing us to keep examining
the data. It will remind us that we can never safely make
(dynamical-theoretical) generalizations about early history unless we are sure
there are no earlier transitions. These would be the decisive factor in any form
of explanation. Loose talk about how the Neolithic arose is thus out the window.
This is not cyclical myth-mongering, but an arduous
discipline, and we can’t just look for vague correlations. We need rich data
that can show relative transforms with the right periodization. That’s hard,
even for ‘ET4’, but easy with the Axial period, and modernity. And these two
form a kind of ‘core eonic effect’ that makes sudden sense if we assume
some kind of frequency phenomenon at
work. We are essentially attempting to understand our modernity, and the meaning
of secularism disentangling itself from its Axial predecessor. Modernity is
under attack, and yet we can see that it has clear evolutionary status. We
should plead the hope that our efforts not vanish in the flood as did the Greek
Axial. If need be we will put everything in a time-capsule before we disappear
in the next jihad.
The myth Of Western
Civilization The idea of the ‘rise of the West’ won’t pass muster in our
formulation. We have one global field of civilizations and an eonic sequence,
with time-slices usually satisfying a frontier effect. The sudden rise of
modernity is one such frontier effect, in a brief transition that rapidly swings
outwards toward globalization
.
Two Universal Histories Having created one universal
history, we suddenly confront another, the stream and sequence contrast.
Historical narratives suffer the bane of selectivity. Ours is so selective it
flies in reverse. Three small time slices are all we need. Having produced one
universal history, we promptly create a vacuum and
generate a second, as if one is trying to reach another. So our discussion, and
the eonic effect, is really about the whole, with a strategy to reach that
whole. Since this invokes some form of globalization, we note that it is not the
same as the economic variety. So the ‘modern’ time-slice, ‘ET6’, in a Western
Eurasian sector triggers a new era of globalization.
Note the way the modern transition expresses a theme of
universality, followed now by a postmodern reaction, which is misleading, but an
essential challenge to Eurocentrism. Like clockwork the system disengages itself
from Euro-centered culture toward a matrix of global culture that also honors
the immense diversity of cultural streams.
And as we pass beyond the modern transition our resolution
of Kant’s Challenge shows us a coherent history five thousand years in length,
in the dawn of a New Age just barely underway. We see that much of the drama of
secularization generated by modernity is really about this New Age effect, and
this, if the Axial era is any guide, threatens a prodigious recasting of the
elements of religion, a process well underway as we examine the wake of the
mighty Protestant Reformation at the beginning of the modern transformation. The
emergence of the Enlightenment sets the tone for this dangerous passage, and we
should do well to learn the lesson of this revolution of time, since history
will not rest. But this risks casting all our observation in terms of modern
conceptions, as we see antiquity through the modern lens. To do justice to our
subject we must be prepared to enter a series of different worlds, and to
understand the logic of different moments in our eonic sequence.
‘ET6++’: Looking backward Just as we
are about to begin our tour of the eonic sequence, we can remind ourselves again
that we are in the late (post-transitional) modern period looking backward,
inside the cone of diffusion of the last transition, seeing everything through
the filter of the changes of this last transition, whose effects create a
dialectic against what was occurring before, e.g. a secular perspective on
religion. Our double plus can stand for the two centuries just past the
transition, with their spectacular flourish, followed by sudden chaotification,
noticed, if not abetted, by postmodern critique. We should be wary of a loss of
nerve and not be overwhelmed by the inexorable resurgence of traditionalism that
flows around the modern transition as if nothing had happened.
‘ET6+’: The divide
point The spectacular moment of the divide predicted by our model is
clearly, if misleadingly, correlated with the French and Industrial Revolutions,
and the host of other eonic emergents rushing into existence as a nineteenth
century take-off ignites the modern period as such, distinguished from the
localized early modern with its frontier effect clustered in Northern Europe.
‘ET6’:
The modern transition The sixteenth
century is the primordial early modern onset of the transition, and the parallel
Reformation and Copernican paradigm shift prophecy the coming era. The aftermath
of the Thirty Years War and the English Revolution leads to the birth of the
Enlightenment, and the seeds of virtually all that will come are sown.
We are ready to begin a stepping stone passage through our
eonic sequence in a minimal outline, beginning with the Neolithic.
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