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We come, at the end, to the Joker in the deck: the passage
from the macro to the micro aspect of our eonic system. In the period after the
Great Divide the ‘evolutionary system action
’ is complete and stops, and the void is filled within several centuries by
what we call ‘free action’. The effect is clearly visible in the wake of the
Axial Age, and we can suddenly see at once a clue to the nineteenth and
twentieth centuries, as our system seems to slide into chaos, even as it
progressing by leaps and bounds. A key question, among others, is whether
democracy will survive or if our system will slide into empire, once again.
Inherent in the structure of a discrete-continuous model is the phenomenon of
the divide, as we have seen, and the system shutdown in its wake. We have the
option of enforcing a cutoff just here, our job complete: the demonstration of a
non-random pattern. We are liable to jump to premature conclusions without
tracing the complete history leading to our current present. We have invoked
something that is suddenly far larger than ourselves, and its depth and subtlety
is tremendous.
‘Ideology’
alert: eonic observers, and agents We began our analysis with an objective
analysis, as if exterior to the data, using periodization to see what we called
the ‘eonic effect’, but as we conclude our demonstration we discover
ourselves inside this ‘effect’ as observers turned agents forced to mediate
multiple ideological perspectives via the history of philosophy. This does not
change our demonstration of a non-random pattern, or of the connection of
history and evolution. But it remains true that we are in the context of
micro-action attempting to understand macro-action. Our perceptions will tend to
fall out of sync between the early nineteenth century and our present. It is
long study.
Still, ideology or not, we notice some very obvious macro
processes: most spectacularly, our system, as noted, seems to have an uncanny
way of staging, restaging, ‘democratic emergence’ (then stops, waiting on
micro-action). Much more. As observers turned agents we feel compelled to press
the model into service in the affirmation of this evolutionary wonder, one that
the far left was unable to properly understand, despite its prompt appearance at
the dangerous point of globalization. This breakthrough, at one point was
the left! Democracy reappears via revolution.
Thus strictly speaking we are done, our model closes, and
says nothing about the mideonic outcome. System return, if any, will occur we
suppose in twenty-four hundred years. Like a penitentiary the doors slam shut
and the inmates may attempt to make their own rules. These properties of our
model seem quite artificial implications of its structure, and yet, remarkably,
we can spot this shutdown point quite clearly in the early to mid-nineteenth
century. Compare the foundational generation of the American republic and the
immediate successor generation(s) of the period of Andrew Jackson onward,
initialization to realization. This sudden shift, macro to micro, although
strictly speaking a formal approximation in a model, throws immediate light on
the sudden calamities, e.g. the First World War and the Holocaust, that overtake
the post-transition. This post-transitional onset must nonetheless be declared a
bit fuzzy (later events, e.g. the American Civil War, show obvious eonic
determination, though outside our designated interval) and raises a host of
questions near the limits of this kind of model, designed to show a non-random
pattern in history, but stumbling on something much vaster, and rapidly finding
itself in a thicket of ideological issues, wishing to resolve them, but not able
to do so in a rigorous fashion. The only solution is to proceed comprehensively
with a balanced inspection of the whole spectrum of possibilities. We can take a
step in this direction with a portrait of the rapid shift between, say, Kantian
classical liberalism and the emerging nineteenth century left, e.g. Marx. We
note the plight of the eonic observer, who should be able to distance himself in
terms of several millennia to really see what the outcome of the modern
transition turns out to be. Instead he is immersed, scientist to sans-culotte,
in the history he wishes to describe, no doubt trading his objectivity for a
commitment to versions of that outcome. At least we can say that the sudden
emergence of ideologies of freedom shows strong eonic determination!
We should clear about our intentions and the status of the
model, which is strictly advisory, and can’t be used to legitimate outcomes.
Nothing dogmatic can be claimed about a three term sequence, clearly showing
only half its data. Perhaps that’s a fortunate circumstance, preempting the
formation of a crude mechanistic perspective. Since there will be immediate
deviation from initial conditions that strategy of justification will soon prove
problematic. That is especially the case in the modern instance where the
agendas of economic action in the name of freedom generate exploitation. Our
statements about turning points in history are strong claims in the realm of
fact about evolution, but at the same time, especially in the case of the modern
transition, likely to be affirmations of the significance and historical
justification of modernity. (Eonic) evolution applies only to the
macro-sequence, not to the field of micro-action. And the latter presumes,
realistically or not, the highest standard of ethical action. This is hardly
evident in the imaginary world of Machiavellian politicians and their real
politik, which have no status in our model. The application of Darwinian
thinking to this situation does not bode well for the future of modernity. Nor
does the confused thinking of Nietzsche, soon the ideologue for a postmodern
‘new beginning’(?!),who is clearly a bit of an impostor in the sudden
post-transition.
In fact, with a little care there need be no problem in our
semi-ideological approach as we vigorously apply the insight into historical
dynamics to the situation we find ourselves inheriting from the eonic sequence.
The striking appearance of the discrete freedom sequence leaves us, for example,
with the chance to anticipate possible recurrent situations. Will democracy
last? Will the American democratic system turn into an empire? The ominous
resemblance to the case, Solon to Alexander, of
Athens
whose experiment in democracy devolves to empire should give us pause. We
should renounce Spenglerian pseudo-analysis, grasp the difference between
cyclical recurrence and progressive cyclicity and see that our task is not
repetition, but breaking out of cycles to do the job right, this time!
Let us note at least that we have displaced arguments about
historical inevitability from our analysis, and have designed our model to leave
the future free from hard predictions. The appearance of a figure such as
Spengler is significant, since we can see that his predictions are bogus, yet
might just show themselves right in practice for the wrong reason. There is
nothing inevitable about a decline of the West, but since our eonic system is
not about the ‘West’ but the modern transition generating a global oikoumene,
a shift in the center of gravity might well occur.
Implicit in the whole discussion of the eonic effect is the
portrait of the process of globalization via localization and this leaves the
question of modernity and Eurocentrism stranded in stark contradiction. In
principle our model has resolved this issue but in practice we see the immense
tension that occurs in the sudden reversal from localization toward
globalization. Let us note that the emergence of the American democratic
experiment was a revolt against colonialism.
Eurocentric
confusions Our analysis is complicated by the seeming Eurocentric character
of the data at its endpoint. We have erected multiple failsafes against such
implications, but the mis-impression makes the data difficult to use properly
without careful study. Our demonstration is rigged to reflect the ‘Big Skid’
between classic liberalism (the Kantian brand is the most useful) and a leftist
succession, which in fact the data shows. There are multiple perspectives
possible, but the early and ominous jackknife effect requires careful
‘dialectical’ study. Our post-transition will rapidly degrade into something
else, the field of imperialism, economically ambiguous systems of domination,
etc… Note that nothing in the model justifies anything after the shutdown
point, its main action having been to set up a complex potential, prior to the
transition from macro-action to micro-action. In fact, the model is a
theoretical self-defense against Eurocentricism. But is does make claims that
are suddenly obvious, about modernity and its source point. Note again our
distinctions of directionality and teleology. Note that ‘eonic
globalization’ is reflected in the eonic sequence only, and is not the same as
the ‘globalization’, mostly economic, that follows in its wake.
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